Wednesday, December 31, 2014

U.S. Renters Paid $441 Billion in Rent in 2014, Up Nearly $21 Billion Since 2013

 Americans shelled out $20.6 billion more in rent in 2014 compared to 2013. Cumulatively, U.S. renters paid $441 billion in rent in 2014 compared to $420 billion last year, an increase of nearly five percent (4.9 percent), as both the number of renting households and the average rent rose nationally, according to a Zillow rentals analysisi.
Locally, the Bay Area, consisting of the San Jose and San Francisco metros, saw the largest jump in cumulative rent paid in 2014, up 14.4 and 13.5 percent respectively. Rent per household in the San Jose, Calif. metro rose by $197 per month, while rent in the San Francisco metro rose by $163 per month.
Out of the top 50 largest U.S. metro areas, the largest amount of cumulative rent was paid the New York-Northern New Jersey ($50 billion) and Los Angeles ($34 billion) metros. The smallest amount of cumulative rent was paid by renters in Birmingham, Ala. ($1 billion), Louisville, Ky. ($1.2 billion) and Buffalo, N.Y. ($1.2 billion).
Nationally, the total number of renters is estimated to have grown 1.9 percent in 2014ii. Over the same time period, the median rent paid increased 2.9 percent.
"Over the past fourteen years, rents have grown at twice the pace of income due to weak income growth, burgeoning rental demand, and insufficient growth in the supply of rental housing. This has created real opportunities for rental housing owners and investors, but has also been a bitter pill to swallow for tenants, particularly those on an entry-level salary and those would-be buyers struggling to save for a down payment on a home of their own," said Zillow Chief Economist Stan Humphries. "Next year, we expect rents to rise even faster than home values, meaning that another increase in total rent paid similar to that seen this year isn't out of the question. In fact, it's probable."
Total Rent Paid By The Largest 25 Metros Covered by Zillow*
Metro
Cumulative 2013 Rent
Cumulative 2014 Rent
Percent Change
2013-2014
Monthly Payment Change 2013-2014iii
United States
$420.4 billion
$441 billion
4.9%
$26
New York-Northern New Jersey
$48.2 billion
$50 billion
3.6%
$20
Los Angeles
$32.5 billion
$34.2 billion
5.3%
$42
Chicago
$13.4 billion
$14.3 billion
7.4%
$50
Dallas-Fort Worth
$9.4 billion
$10 billion
6.2%
$35
Philadelphia
$7.8 billion
$8.1 billion
4.4%
$23
Houston
$8.2 billion
$8.8 billion
7.2%
$43
Washington, DC
$13.1 billion
$13.4 billion
2.1%
$2
Miami-Fort Lauderdale
$9.7 billion
$10.5 billion
7.7%
$59
Atlanta
$6.8 billion
$7.2 billion
5.7%
$30
Boston
$9.2 billion
$9.8 billion
6.9%
$58
San Francisco
$12.8 billion
$14.6 billion
13.5%
$163
Detroit
$4.3 billion
$4.5 billion
4.6%
$20
Riverside, Calif.
$5.9 billion
$6.2 billion
4.4%
$26
Phoenix
$5.9 billion
$6.2 billion
6.0%
$34
Seattle
$7.1 billion
$7.8 billion
8.6%
$71
Minneapolis-St Paul
$4.3 billion
$4.5 billion
4.8%
$25
San Diego
$7.9 billion
$8.3 billion
6.1%
$55
St. Louis
$2.7 billion
$2.8 billion
3.3%
$10
Tampa, Fla.
$4.1 billion
$4.3 billion
4.9%
$24
Baltimore
$4.2 billion
$4.3 billion
3.0%
$9
Denver
$4.4 billion
$4.9 billion
10.8%
$86
Pittsburgh
$2.2 billion
$2.4 billion
10.6%
$56
Portland, Ore.
$3.9 billion
$4.1 billion
7.1%
$46
Sacramento, Calif.
$3.8 billion
$4.0 billion
5.2%
$33
San Antonio
$2.6 billion
$2.8 billion
5.5%
$25
* Data for the 50 largest metros covered in this Zillow rentals report is available.

Tuesday, December 30, 2014

A Dozen States Dominate Top Year-End Real Estate Markets - Including Texas

It appears that real estate investment has headed south for the winter, this according to year-end data compiled by Local Market Monitor, the national real estate forecaster, and HomeVestors of America (the "We Buy Ugly Houses"® people) with TexasNorth Carolina and Florida ending 2014 as sure bets for single-family investment property markets.
"The real estate markets that made the top 20 list for investing were chosen based on population growth and it's near cousin, job growth - both conditions ideal for investing in single family homes," said Ingo Winzer, president and founder of Local Market Monitor. "In all of the top 20 markets, the populations increased by more than double the national average of one percent."
The top 20 markets for real estate investing are:
  1. Austin-Round Rock, TX
  2. Houston-Baytown-Sugar Land, TX
  3. Raleigh-Cary, NC
  4. Nashville-Davidson-Murfreesboro, TN
  5. Orlando, FL
  6. Boise City-Nampa, ID
  7. San Antonio, TX
  8. Denver-Aurora, CO
  9. Charlotte-Gastonia-Concord, NC
  10. North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL
  11. Oklahoma City, OK
  12. Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ
  13. Seattle-Bellevue-Everett, WA
  14. Dallas-Plano-Irving, TX
  15. Oakland-Fremont-Hayward, CA
  16. Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
  17. Las Vegas-Paradise, NV
  18. Salt Lake City, UT
  19. San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA
  20. San Francisco-San Mateo-Redwood City, CA
"Texas has always been a sweet spot for real estate investing. Its economy is strong, and only getting stronger. This is spurring population and job growth, especially among younger workers looking for work in retail, business and tourism. They are looking to rent, not buy a home," noted David Hicks, HomeVestors co-president.
Along with job growth and population growth, relatively low home prices is a factor making investments in single-family homes as rental properties a low risk opportunity in some markets. The average home prices in the top 10 markets are under $300,000, although the markets listed among the top 20 range from $166,000 to $844,000.
Despite high home prices, a few California markets made the top 20, including Oakland-Fremont-Hayward (15), San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara (19) and the San Francisco Bay area (20).
"There is definitely opportunity to strike gold in the California market for real estate investing. With some notable exceptions, they're growing again - both in jobs and in population - as is clear by double-digit home price increases," explained HomeVestors co-president Ken Channel. "But investors in these markets are likely to see more of their gain come from price appreciation and less from a long-term rental stream, because most of these markets are no longer under-priced."
About the Quarterly Data:
The data identifies markets that will be good rental markets and where home prices are likely to increase at a good rate over the next few years.  Criteria include markets where:
  • The population has been growing at above-average rates (4% or better) with growth coming from people moving there in search of jobs;
  • The current rate of job growth of 2% or better; and
  • There is low unemployment, so that new jobs will be filled by people who move there, not by unemployed people who are already there.
Markets are excluded that:
  • Have a small population because they don't have stable economies.